Dry and warm Spring weather seems to be a difficult thing to keep this year. It looks like this week won't be any different. A couple of weather systems will sweep through the region. The first one arrives Tuesday evening and night. This will bring a couple rounds of rain with some areas seeing up to 1". There is also the possibility of a few strong to severe storms. The primary threats are large hail and strong wind. At this point, it appears the early week system will be the weaker of the two events.
Tuesday Outlooks
Severe Risk
Rainfall Forecast
Thursday's weather system looks to have a little more punch. The discussion from the Storm Prediction Center is posted below. In addition to the severe threat, more heavy rain will be possible. By the end of the week, parts of the region could see around 5" of rainfall.
SPC Discussion for Thursday
AN ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER PATTERN APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY/DAY 4 ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OZARKS/MID SOUTH REGION/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A REGIONAL OUTBREAK OF LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES /SOME STRONG/. LATEST 00Z GFS/ECMWF/MREF GUIDANCE ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN/SHIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THIS POTENT SYSTEM...A RESERVOIR OF RELATIVELY RICH GULF MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
OZARKS/MID SOUTH REGION/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
Meteorologist Kyle Mounce
